Testing, Testing, Testing – Is this thing on?
So much ink has been spilled and vitriol expended over the US’ incompetent testing regime … no surprise, our fearless leader has been...
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THE PANDEMIC CASSANDRA CHRONICLES
Cursed to know the future and be unheeded
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Why "Viral Load" matters
(Mental image – a 6’x6’x6’ box, great air circulation within, no external inputs) Viral Load – SARS-CoV-2 infection occurs after inhaling...
Double Blind, Placebo Controled, Peer Reviewed, Clinical Trial before Off-Label usage of RX
Folks, I'm surprised we still have this argument anywhere, usually on social media "I saw on Twitter that Dr. XXX has had a 100% cure...
Funding the World Health Organization
I try to keep politics out of this pandemic blog … who did what, when, why and how doesn’t mean a lot now that we’re in the soup … But...
The best data source I've found for relatable analytics
I rely on CDC, NIH and WHO data for most of my needs, but IHME comes very close to producing the best and most authoritative data geared...
Homemade Disinfectant - be careful!!
So here at Casa Nobay, we're disinfecting with a homemade solution of bleach and water ... Mail and packages brought in and...
India and SARS-CoV-2
I had mentioned earlier how bad this is going to be in India ... here, a writer discusses the kinetics of what is going to happen and how...
Three types of Lies - Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics
Many of you have asked how folks like me build out the models to help others make plans ... I found a good, plain English description of...
Pulmonologist talks about Masks and SARS-CoV-2
Folks ... I've been saying that a mask's primary utility in this age is to physically remind you NOT TO TOUCH YOUR FACE ... read it here...
Why Chinese Incidence is plummeting/What is "Cryptic Spread"?
So a little more than two months ago, I tried to sound the alarm on SARS-CoV-2 … many friends, family and neighbors paid heed, but a few...
SARS-CoV-2 and Freezing
Viruses are not "alive" in terms of cellular activity ... they are just oily membranes ("lipid" bi or monolayer) and, sometimes, protein...
Chloroquine and SARS-CoV-2 - Updated
Chloroquine is a long approved drug - it was approved well before we knew *how* it worked ... Now, its under investigation for CoVID-19...
Read this! Brilliant analysis of why Distancing and/or Lockdown are our only choices now
This article is long, but worth every word https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
N95 Masks - Why they're of limited value - My .02
SARS-CoV-2 is expelled and carried in respiratory droplets and stays infective for 3hrs-9days based on what it lands on ... if you can...
Heat/Humidity and SARS-CoV-2
Does it die/melt/decompose in the heat? No ... the viral lipid bi-layer does not "melt" at room temps and seasonal fluctuations in...
FAQ #5 - My .02
If CFR and R0 are the only stats we need to concern ourselves with. Why didn't we all get Ebola? Ebola etiology ("transmission...
FAQ #4 - My .02
When will a vaccine be ready? I'm with Dr. Fauci on this ... An adequately tested, safe, effective vaccine will be available in 12-20...
NSAIDs/Cytokine Storm
what about NSAIDs and CoVID-19? Some early research indicates that the deadly component of SARS-CoV-2/CoVID-19 infection is a "cytokine...
FAQ #2 - My .02
If we're all going to get infected, why bother with social distancing/lockdown/isolation? Also known as "Flattening the Curve" - The...
Read this first - CoVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 - My .02
(I originally wrote this in early February 2020 as a Faceboook and Nextdoor post for some friends and neighbors who were asking ......
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PEOPLE ARE ASKING...
Everything posted in this blog is my personal opinion based on decades of working in Health Data Science ... I have never been employed as a Virologist, but I am routinely paid to advise them ;-) ... Most recently, I was the SVP of Analytics and Informatics at WIN Healthcare (my position was eliminated at the end of Feb '20)
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Essentially, I'm an Executive Data Scientist with decades of work in and around Health Care ... I run the department and staff who take care of data analytics, data warehousing business intelligence, actuarial analysis, create external/internal/regulatory reporting, develop KPIs, respond to regulators, special interests and stakeholders, and tell the sales and operational stories with clear and compelling data and visualizations ... I'm in charge of the technology "stack", the data flow, governance, implementation, processing, dissemination, consumption and appropriate utilization ... "Data Science" is a fancy new term for what I've been doing for decades in Health Care - at Coopers & Lybrand, Middlesex Hospital, Pfizer, Medco, Genzyme, Universal American/Wellspring, Baylor Scott & White and most recently WINHealthcare
I graduated from Princeton (Woodrow Wilson School - "In the Nation's Service") and Yale grad school (MPH - Yale Laboratories of Epidemiology and Public Health at the Yale School of Medicine) ... I had planned on going to Medical School decades ago and was accepted at several places, but life and circumstance intervened and I never got to go - that ship sailed for me but, in hindsight, it turned out to be a very good thing.
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Currently, I'm enjoying my time at home with my family and the opportunity to get some projects done, but I'll want to go back to work in short order, so if you have a job lying around (or know of one) please let me know ;-)
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PM me if you want to connect on LinkedIn or Facebook ... I don't really Tweet or Instagram ;-)
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Other stuff - Ultimate Frisbee, Yale Div School Frisbee, CT Men's Ultimate Grand Master ;-), Cub Scout Den Master, Scout Dad, Girl Scout Dad, Greenwich RTM (multiple terms), Greenwich Democratic Town Committee, GDTC District 8 Chairperson, chief cook, bottlewasher and chauffeur for my young family ;-)
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